Tuesday, September 8, 2026

October 2026 Stock Watch List

As I'm writing this blog post, it's Tuesday, September 8, 2026. The temperature here in Central Wisconsin is set to reach a high of 73 degrees Fahrenheit later today. Rain is in the forecast throughout the day, so I likely won't be spending any time outside.

With that aside, I'm probably finished with capital allocation for the month of September 2026. So, I will be taking now as an opportunity to highlight several stocks at the top of my watch list over the next few weeks and heading into October 2026. Let's dive into it!

Stock #1: Amazon.com (AMZN)

The first stock on my watch list for October 2026 is Amazon.com. Readers will notice that this one has become a frequent flyer on the Watch List blog posts, having just appeared in the September 2026 Stock Watch List blog post as well.

The gist of the thesis is that AMZN's Q2 2026 earnings report validated the investment thesis. AWS recorded the strongest quarter of growth since Q4 2021. That was when AWS grew revenue by about 40% to an annual run rate of $71 billion. In Q2 2026, the segment's growth accelerated from 28% in Q1 2026 to 37% in Q2 2026 (concluding the second quarter with a $169 billion annual run rate). That was more than double the 17% growth of AWS in Q2 2025 on a much smaller base. This offers the clearest proof that AMZN's outsized capex in recent years is bearing fruit.

AMZN's AI and chips businesses also each surpassed $25 billion annual run rates in Q2 2026 (with triple digit percentage YOY growth rates). Only NVIVIA and Broadcom have bigger businesses.

Just like I noted in the previous post of this series, North America and International net sales growth were also strong. Each segment's net sales grew at mid-teens percentage rates in Q2 2026. That sets up AMZN's OCF per share growth to top 25% annually over the next few years.

The company's AA S&P credit rating with a stable outlook also drives home the point that its financial positioning is impeccable.



From the current $256 share price, the stock is priced at a forward 12-month P/OCF ratio of 12.2. That's much lower than the 10-year average P/OCF ratio of 23.5 and 36% less than my $398 fair value per share estimate (a fair value multiple of 19). This also represents a 29% discount to the $361 fair value per share estimate (a fair multiple of approximately 17) from my friends at GNG Research.

Stock #2: Broadcom (AVGO)

The next stock on my watch list for next month is Broadcom.

AVGO stands at the intersection of high-performance custom semiconductor for major hyperscalers and enterprise infrastructure software. Driven by massive secular tailwinds in AI and strategic acquisitions (e.g., VMware), the company has cements its place as a critical backbone of modern digital infrastructure.

These secular growth catalysts explain why the FAST Graphs analyst consensus is for non-GAAP EPS to compound by 60%+ annually through FY 2028 (~71%, 64%, and 63%), off a FY 2025 base of $6.82. Because AVGO is growing so fast, the balance sheet is also being deleveraged. That's why it enjoys an A- S&P credit rating with a positive outlook.

AVGO's 0.7% dividend yield is modest. However, the non-GAAP EPS payout ratio is set to be in the low-20% range in FY 2026. That provides it plenty of room to compound the payout at a low double-digit percentage rate annually for the foreseeable future, while also retaining capital for growth.

At the current $362 share price, AVGO is trading at a forward 12-month P/E ratio of just 20.1. This is far below the three-year FAST Graphs average P/E ratio of 30.4 and 28% under my fair value per share estimate of $505 (a fair value P/E ratio of 28).

Stock #3: BlackRock (BLK)

The third stock on my watch list for October 2026 is BlackRock. Readers can find my investment thesis in my August 2026 Stock Watch List blog post and my July Seeking Alpha article.

The gist of my thesis is that net revenue and adjusted diluted EPS vaulted higher by double-digits in Q2 2026. That was made possible by the eighth straight quarter of organic base fee growth surpassing 5% (it was 8% in Q2 2026). BLK's YTD net inflows of $321 billion in the first half of 2026 more than doubled the first half of 2025.

Because of this operating momentum, the FAST Graphs analyst consensus is for the asset manager's adjusted diluted EPS to compound by 15.1% annually through 2028, off a 2025 base of $48.09. BLK's balance sheet is also a fortress, with an AA- S&P credit rating and a stable outlook. That provides it with a low cost of capital to further complement its business with additional bolt-on acquisitions.

BLK's 2% dividend yield is right in the sweet spot for me. This is because the adjusted diluted EPS payout ratio is poised to be in the low-40% range for 2026. That paves the way for more double-digit percentage dividend hikes over the next few years.


GNG Research

From the current $1,122 share price, the stock is priced at a forward 12-month P/E ratio of 18.1. That's 12% below the FAST Graphs 10-year average P/E ratio of 20.7 and my fair value per share estimate of $1,278 (a fair value multiple of 20.7). This is also 14% less than the $1,300 fair value per share estimate from GNG Research.

Stock #4: PepsiCo (PEP)

The next stock on my watch list for next month is PepsiCo. Curious readers can find my investment thesis in the July Seeking Alpha article that I did for Treading Softly.

The crux of it is that PEP is showing resilience in international markets and through higher net prices. That helped its net revenue to grow by 6.4% to $24.18 billion in Q2 2026. The company's core EPS edged 3.8% higher to $2.20 during the quarter.

PEP plans to maintain its focus on permissible and portion-control innovation (i.e., healthier or functional options and portion-control formats). Functional hydration and zero-sugar beverages promise to be key growth areas for PEP. Better price points on multipacks and variety packs are aimed at appealing to budget-conscious shoppers to drive volume growth.

Actions to create value through bundles and combined food-and-beverage solutions at away-from-home channels/enterprise productivity goals are also tailwinds. Thus, the FAST Graphs analyst consensus is for constant currency core EPS to rise by 5.3% annually through 2028, off a 2025 base of $8.14.

Like BLK, PEP's A+ S&P credit rating also affords it a low cost of capital for bolt-on acquisitions to further complement its business. The consumer staple's 4.3% dividend yield provides a significant lift to the income of my basket of stocks for this month. This starting income is also secure, with the payout ratio positioned to be in the upper-60% range for 2026. That should allow for 4% to 5% annual dividend growth over the next several years.

At the current $138 share price, PEP is trading at a forward 12-month P/E ratio of 15.5. This is well below the FAST Graphs 10-year average P/E ratio of 22.8 and 14% under my updated fair value per share estimate of $160 (18x).

Stock #5: WEC Energy Group (WEC)

The final stock on my watch list for October 2026 is WEC Energy Group. My investment thesis is largely the same as it was in my June Seeking Alpha article.

WEC's $37.5 billion five-year capital spending plan can drive the expected rate base growth needed for high single-digit percentage annual diluted EPS growth for the foreseeable future. The driving factor for this sizable capex is the attractiveness of the I-94 corridor to large customers, such as data centers. The land is relatively flat and undeveloped, which is a positive for such customers. As is the fact that Wisconsin's climate reduces the energy required for mechanical cooling, which is a major expense for data centers. The abundant supply of water from the Great Lakes is the icing on the cake.

WEC is also financially sound, with an A- S&P credit rating and a stable outlook. The 3.6% dividend yield is secure, too. The payout ratio is likely to register in the high-60% range, which should support approximately 7% annual dividend growth over the next few years.


GNG Research

From the current $107 share price, WEC is priced at a forward 12-month P/E ratio of 18.2. That's moderately below the FAST Graphs 10-year average P/E ratio of 21 and 7% under my $115 fair value per share estimate (a fair value P/E ratio of 19.5). Shares are also trading at a 9% discount to the $117 fair value per share estimate of GNG Research (roughly 20x).

Concluding Thoughts:

That's it for now. Five world-class companies that I'd like to add to in October 2026. My planned allocation for the month should keep me around a mid-2% yield while offering plenty of upside potential through a combination of growth and undervaluation.

Discussion:

Are any of AMZN, AVGO, BLK, PEP, or WEC on your watch list for October 2026?

If not, what stocks are you watching for next month?

Thank you for your readership and I look forward to your comments below!

Tuesday, September 1, 2026

August 2026 Dividend Income

As I'm writing this blog post, it's currently Monday, August 31st, 2026. The temperature here in Central Wisconsin is expected to top out at a high of 90 degrees Fahrenheit (and a heat index of 99) later today. That's why I was glad to get outside for a bit earlier this morning when it was much cooler.

With that aside, I will be outlining my net dividend income for August 2026. Without further ado, let's dig into it!

Net Dividends Topped $800

In August 2026, I received $830.52 in net dividends (including withholding taxes for Novo Nordisk, as well as ADR fees for British American Tobacco and NVO). Compared to the $737.61 in net dividends collected in May 2026, this represents a 12.6% quarterly growth rate. Backing out dividends from NVO that were last paid in April 2026, that equates to a quarterly growth rate of 7.7%.

My net dividends received in August 2025 were $622.85. This is equivalent to a 33.3% year-over-year growth rate.

In my taxable Robinhood account, I collected $754.37 in net dividends from 19 companies. The timing of the dividend payment from NVO is what led to my company count being one higher than in May 2026. It's also worth noting that the loss of dividend income from Alliant Energy stemming from my May 2026 sale was offset by the added income from Accenture plc, which I started buying in July 2026.

I received $37.68 in net dividends from four companies in my Robinhood IRA portfolio. This company count was unchanged and the slight increase in net dividends versus May 2026 was due entirely to dividend raises from NNN REIT and Realty Income.

In my Fidelity solo 401(k) account opened in March, I collected $21.21 in net dividends from my June 2026 purchase of Mastercard and my May 2026 purchase of NNN REIT.

Finally, I received $17.26 in net dividends from three companies (Enterprise Products Partners, British American Tobacco, and Energy Transfer) in my Webull portfolio.

Concluding Thoughts:

August 2026 was the first month in which my net dividends surpassed $800. Through the first eight months of 2026, my net annual forward dividends have grown by 28.5% over 2025. As I keep aggressively saving and investing, I believe that by God's grace, I will sustain a high-20% growth rate in net dividends for 2026.

Discussion:

How was your dividend income in August 2026?

Did you receive any first-time dividends during the month as I did with ACN?

Thanks for reading and please feel free to comment below!

Tuesday, August 25, 2026

August 2026 Stock Purchases/Sales

As I'm writing this blog post, it's currently Monday August 24th, 2026. The temperature here in Central Wisconsin is set to reach a high of 76 degrees Fahrenheit later today. Paired with a sunny forecast, this is the perfect day for me to get outside for a while.

With that out of the way, I will be getting into my stock purchases and sales for August 2026. Let's dig into it!

Stock Purchase #1: Accenture plc (ACN)

I added another eight shares of Accenture plc at an average price per share of $172.86. Interested readers can find my investment thesis for ACN in my August 2026 Stock Watch List blog post. This lifted my net annual forward dividends by $52.16, which is equivalent to a 3.77% net dividend yield.

Stock Purchase #2: Amazon.com (AMZN)

My next purchase was three more shares of Amazon.com at an average cost of $260.00 a share. Curious readers can peruse my investment thesis for AMZN in my August 2026 Stock Watch List blog post linked earlier.

Stock Purchase #3: Domino's Pizza (DPZ)

I also scooped up another three shares of Domino's Pizza at an average price of share of $339.75. Once again, readers can check out my investment thesis for DPZ in my August 2026 Stock Watch List blog post linked above. That raised my net annual forward dividends by $23.88, which equates to a 2.34% net dividend yield.

Stock Purchase #4: Hamilton Lane (HLNE)

After opening a 30 share starter position in HLNE earlier in the month (more on that in a moment), I added an additional 10 shares at an average cost of $99.00 per share. This increased my net annual forward dividends by $24.00, which works out to be a 2.42% net dividend yield.

Stock Purchase #5: NVIDIA (NVDA)

I also added five more shares of NVDA at an average price per share of $220.00. Curious readers can find my investment thesis in my August 2026 Stock Watch List blog post linked above. That added $5.00 to my net annual forward dividends, which is equivalent to a 0.45% net dividend yield.

Stock Sales: FedEx (FDX) and TJX Companies (TJX)

Due to valuation and the resulting impact on overall forward-looking total return potential, I opted to close my positions in FedEx and TJX Companies at triple-digit percentage long-term capital gains. I sold four shares of the former for $325.74 each and 11 shares of the latter at $158.54 apiece.

Together, these moves lowered my net annual forward dividends by $40.64.

Stock Purchase: Hamilton Lane (HLNE)

I redeployed all but $42.56 of the net proceeds into a 30 share starter position in Hamilton Lane at an average cost of $100.14 a share. Curious readers can find my investment thesis in my September 2026 Stock Watch List blog post. This move added $72.00 to my net annual forward dividends.

Concluding Thoughts:

In August 2026, I deployed $5,229.57 in net capital. My stock purchases and stock sales added $136.40 to my net annual forward dividends. That equates to a 2.61% net dividend yield.

If my two pending dividend raises play out as anticipated, my net annual forward dividends will have increased by $18.60 in August 2026. Along with upward revisions in ADR dividends from strength in the GBP and CAD, this would boost my net annual forward dividends from roughly $8,010 at the start of August 2026 to roughly $8,175 going into September 2026.

Discussion:

How was your capital deployment for the month?

Did you close any positions (as I did with FDX and TJX) or open any new positions (as I did with HLNE) in August 2026?

I appreciate your readership and welcome your comments below!

Tuesday, August 18, 2026

Expected Dividend Increases for September 2026

As I'm writing this blog post, it's currently Monday August 17th, 2026. The temperature here in Central Wisconsin is set to reach a high of 82 degrees Fahrenheit later today. Along with a sunny forecast, that makes it a perfect day to spend some time outdoors!

With that said, I will be looking at my dividend announcement activity in August 2026. I'll also be looking ahead to the payout hikes that I'm expecting for September 2026. Let's get into it!

Actual Dividend Increase for August 2026

Dividend Increase: Carlisle Companies (CSL)

Carlisle Companies announced a 13.6% boost in its quarterly dividend per share to $1.25. Talk about an emphatic way to become a Dividend King! In this series' prior blog post, I was only expecting a 9.1% raise to $1.20.

Across my 11 shares of CSL, my net annual forward dividends surged $6.60 due to this dividend announcement.

Pending Dividend Increase #1: Intuit (INTU)

Intuit has yet to declare its next quarterly dividend per share. But I'm standing by my expectation of a 15% hike in the quarterly dividend per share to $1.38.

My net annual forward dividends would jump $7.20 higher from such a dividend declaration across my 10 shares of INTU.

UPDATE: As anticipated, INTU declared a 15% boost in its quarterly dividend per share to $1.38. This raised my net annual forward dividends by $7.20 across my 10 shares of INTU.

Pending Dividend Increase #2: Altria Group (MO)

Altria Group hasn't announced its next quarterly dividend per share yet. Still, I anticipate a 4.7% increase in its quarterly dividend per share to $1.11.

Across my 24 shares of MO, my net annual forward dividends would rise by $4.80 due to such a dividend announcement.

UPDATE: As I expected, MO announced a 4.7% increase in its quarterly dividend per share to $1.11. Across my 24 shares of MO, my net annual forward dividends grew by $4.80.

Expected Dividend Increases for September 2026

Expected Dividend Increase #1: Accenture plc (ACN)

The first dividend raise that I'm anticipating for September 2026 will come from Accenture plc. My best guess is that ACN will declare a 9.8% hike in its quarterly dividend per share to $1.79.

My net annual forward dividends would rise by $12.80 across my 20 shares of ACN from such a dividend declaration.

Expected Dividend Increase #2: Microsoft (MSFT)

The next dividend boost that I'm predicting for next month will be from Microsoft. I believe that MSFT will announce a 9.9% raise in its quarterly dividend per share to $1.00.

Across my 26 shares of MSFT, my net annual forward dividends would rise by $9.36 due to such a dividend announcement.

Expected Dividend Increase #3: Realty Income (O)

The third dividend bump that I'm expecting for September 2026 will come from Realty Income. My guess is that O will declare a 1.5% increase in its monthly dividend per share to $0.2750 (the REIT tends to announce four smaller increases each year and one larger increase).

My net annual forward dividends would grow by $7.248 across my 151 shares of O from such a dividend declaration.

Expected Dividend Increase #4: Philip Morris International (PM)

The next dividend hike that I'm anticipating for next month will be from Philip Morris International. My best guess is that PM will announce an 8.2% raise in its quarterly dividend per share to $1.59.

Across my 18 shares of PM, my net annual forward dividends would climb $8.64 higher due to such a dividend announcement.

Expected Dividend Increase #5: VICI Properties (VICI)

The fifth dividend raise that I'm predicting for September 2026 will come from VICI Properties. I believe that VICI will declare a 3.9% increase in its quarterly dividend per share to $0.4675.

My net annual forward dividends would surge $12.60 higher across my 180 shares of VICI from such a dividend declaration.

Concluding Thoughts:

My net annual forward dividends rose by $18.60 in August 2026. This would be equivalent to investing $620.00 at a 3% net dividend yield.

If my five dividend boosts in September 2026 play out as anticipated, my net annual forward dividends would rocket higher by $50.648. That would be like investing $1,688.27 at a 3% net dividend yield.

Discussion:

How was your August 2026 for dividend boosts? Did you receive any first-time raises in your portfolio like I did with CSL and INTU?

Are you expecting any first-time dividend raises like I am with ACN?

Thanks for reading and please feel free to comment below!