As I'm writing this blog post, it's Friday, July 4th. The temperature here in Central Wisconsin is set to reach a high of 92 degrees Fahrenheit, with a sunny forecast.
With that aside, I have likely completed all of my stock purchases for July 2025. As a result, I'm going to be looking at a few stocks on my watch list for next month.
Dividend Stock #1: Alphabet (GOOGL)
First up on my watch list for August 2025 is Alphabet. I have added to my position in this stock multiple times this year and it's still sitting a bit below my 5% to 6% targeted weight. Those interested in my investment thesis can find it in my June 2025 Stock Watch List blog post and this Seeking Alpha article.
The gist of my thesis is that GOOGL has many avenues to drive future growth. These include Gemini, Google Cloud, and YouTube.
The company also announced its first dividend raise. A 5% increase in the quarterly dividend per share to $0.21 was less than I expected. Still, I believe this is the first of many very strong payout boosts to come for GOOGL. The 0.5% yield is modest but the payout ratio is sub-10%. GOOGL's AA+ credit rating from S&P on a stable outlook certainly helps, too.
At the current $180 share price, the stock is trading at a forward 12-month P/E ratio of just above 18. That's much cheaper than the 10-year average P/E ratio of 24.9 per FAST Graphs and under my fair value estimate of $221 a share.
Dividend Stock #2: Realty Income (O)
Next up on my watch list for next month is Realty Income. Like GOOGL, I have also added to O several times so far in 2025. My weight is a bit off my 5% target. Curious readers can find my investment thesis in my May 2025 Stock Watch List blog post and my recent Seeking Alpha article.
Overall, I believe that the $14 trillion total addressable market in the United States and Europe provides O with a lengthy growth runway. The company is just scratching the surface in Europe, where competition is limited. I'm reasonably confident that this can drive average annual AFFO per share growth in the mid-single-digits over the long run, as has been the case for decades now.
O also benefits from being one of the few net lease REITs with an A-rated balance sheet, which is paramount to its low cost of capital and strong investment spreads. The 5.6% yield is also well-covered and should have room to keep growing.
Best of all, the stock is trading at a forward 12-month P/AFFO ratio of approximately 13 from the current $58 share price. That's leagues below the 10-year average P/E ratio of 18.3 per FAST Graphs and my $71 fair value estimate.
Dividend Stock #3: UnitedHealth Group (UNH)
Last but not least is UnitedHealth Group. I have purchased this twice so far this year. UNH is a smaller position in my portfolio at a 1.4% weight, so I have some room to bring this up to a 2% weight.
To be clear, the stock has had its share of headwinds in 2025. Medicare Advantage cost pressures. The earnings guidance cut in April and then a withdraw of 2025 guidance entirely. Not to mention the resignation of CEO Andrew Witty and the return of former CEO Stephen Helmsley.
Despite all these challenges, I remain a believer in the long-term future of this company. I'm convinced that UNH can return to its targeted 13% to 16% annual adjusted diluted EPS growth rate beyond 2025.
The balance sheet remains A-rated. The 2.8% dividend yield is quite secure and gives UNH a path to return to very robust dividend growth.
From the current $309 share price, the stock is trading at a forward 12-month P/E ratio below 13. This is significantly below the 10-year average P/E ratio of 20.3 per FAST Graphs and my fair value estimate of $440 a share.
Concluding Thoughts:
There you have it. GOOGL, O, and UNH are three phenomenal businesses. Coincidentally, this is the same trio that was featured in my March 2025 Stock Watch List blog post. I plan on allocating nearly 40% of my capital to GOOGL, with the remainder being about evenly split between O and UNH.
Discussion:
Are any of GOOGL, O, or UNH on your watch list for next month?
If not, what stocks are on your radar for August 2025?
Thanks for reading. I look forward to your comments below!
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